The market, which has seen a slew of initial share sales this fiscal, has already witnessed USD 21 billion of issuances in 2025, the same as last year, and we should close the year with over USD 23 billion, given the fact that some large issues like the Rs 10,000 offering from ICICI Prudential AMC are in process, said JP Morgan.
“Yearly issuance of USD 20 billion is the new normal for India. It is the new watermark and will become an annualized run rate from here on,” its head of equity capital markets, Abhinav Bharti, told reporters here.
Bharti said nearly a fifth of the demand is getting driven by consumer technology and new age businesses, and the same will go above 30 per cent as well over the next five years.
He said at least 20 startups, which command valuations in hundreds of millions in the private market, are preparing for an IPO at present.
Four to five companies are preparing for an issuance of over USD 1 billion, and will raise up to USD 8 billion between them, he said, adding that two of these are technology-driven businesses.
When asked about valuations for the new age businesses, Bharti said the Indian market has largely sorted the challenges which it was grappling with in the past, and added that some of the issues it had advised in the recent past are trading at a premium.He said the investments done by private equity funds – which typically look for an exit in a few years – in the past will be one of the leading drivers of the IPO issuances staying high.
To a question on the lack of fresh capital raising and a bulk of the IPO activity being offer for sale by existing investors, he acknowledged that the private capital expenditure is sluggish in the country and added that qualified institutional placements are also low because of that.
The overall equity capital market piece, which also includes institutional placements and follow-ons, has been soft in 2025, he said, pointing that only USD 65 billion of issuances will be done in the current year as against USD 72 billion a year ago.
He attributed the shortfall to the lack of QIPs, pointing out that only USD 10 billion in issuances have been done as against over USD 22 billion in 2024. Even in the USD 10 billion, USD 3 billion is from SBI’s offering, Bharti added.
The foreign flows should return to the Indian markets next year, the investment bank said, adding that Indian valuations are better from a relative basis now.
The country also offers a defensive play for investors who are looking for opportunities in the wake of the artificial intelligence boom in the developed world.
The overall market cap in India is set to double to USD 10 trillion in the next five years, and be third after the US and China, its co-head for investment banking, Nitin Maheshwari, said.
From a mergers and acquisitions perspective, there is better traction for outbound activity given the strong balance sheets with lower leverage and the confidence among companies, he said, adding that the targets will only be ones which are known to the Indian entity.
Japan and the Middle East have the largest interest in India from an inbound perspective, and the same will continue, Maheshwari said, adding that financial services are among the areas of interest.
