The recent volatility in Bitcoin’s dominance could be a signal that altcoin season is approaching sooner than many traders expect, according to a crypto analyst.
“The reason why you should have confidence in the altcoin price action is because the BTC Dominance chart looks bearish and has looked bearish for many weeks,” crypto analyst Matthew Hyland said in an X post on Friday.
“The downtrend is favorable to continue; therefore, this relief rally has been a dead cat bounce in a downtrend,” Hyland said. In a separate video on Saturday, Hyland said that the recent volatility in Bitcoin’s (BTC) price may have been orchestrated by traditional finance giants.
“Over the past month, I’ve kind of just maintained the view that a lot of this was really just manipulation, essentially for Wall Street to set themselves up,” he claimed.
Bitcoin dominance has dropped 5% since May
Bitcoin’s dominance, which measures Bitcoin’s overall market share, is down 5.13% over the past 6 months, and holding 59.90% at the time of publication, according to TradingView.
It was only on Nov. 4 that Bitcoin slipped below the $100,000 price level for the first time in four months, leading to broader market concerns about where the asset’s price will go next.
Bitcoin is trading at $102,090 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.
While Hyland speculated that the altcoin market may gain momentum soon, other indicators, however, continue to point to a market centered around Bitcoin.
CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index currently sits at 28 out of 100, well within “Bitcoin Season” territory.
Altcoin season may be different from previous cycles
The last time the indicator signaled “Altcoin Season” was on Oct. 8, just days after Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $125,100, when traders appeared to anticipate a rotation of capital further up the risk curve.
However, the indicator quickly plunged to risk-off mode after the Oct. 10 market crash which saw around $19 billion in leveraged positions wiped out of the crypto market.
Related: Bitcoin price crash calls are coming from self-serving sellers: Analyst
Some crypto executives expect the next altcoin season to be more selective and concentrated than in previous market cycles.
Maen Ftouni, CEO of CoinQuant, a company that produces algorithmic trading tools, recently said that older cryptocurrencies with an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or expected to receive an ETF will soak up much of the capital deployed during the next altcoin season.
“Not every single coin is going to have massive returns; the liquidity is going to be concentrated into certain places, dinosaurs being one of them, of course,” Ftouni said.
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