Our tipster Jones Is aware of assaults the primary Premier League fixtures of 2023…
Tottenham vs Aston Villa, New 12 months’s Day 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Tottenham are at all times one defeat away from a full-blown disaster – one is perhaps coming right here.
I am an enormous believer in Antonio Conte’s strategies however his contract scenario, amid studies of ongoing negotiations, added to his group’s woeful depth early on in video games goes to chew them sooner or later.
And when assessing the match costs right here, the market is simply too skewed in favour of Spurs, who’re so skinny at 8/13 with Sky Guess to beat an enhancing Aston Villa.
Conte’s males have conceded first in every of their final 9 video games in all competitions and have gone 2-0 down in six of these. That may be a dependable set of information pointing to severe flaws in the best way Tottenham method matches.
Ultimately, a savvy and shrewd facet with good defensive nous goes to make Spurs pay. Villa could possibly be that group beneath Unai Emery and have proven actually optimistic indicators with their efficiency ranges towards Manchester United, Brighton and Liverpool. Emery’s group deserved each their wins towards United and Brighton when assessing the efficiency information and created a wholesome anticipated targets determine of 1.44 towards Liverpool in a recreation the place conceding first to Jurgen Klopp’s facet is rarely ultimate from a recreation state perspective.
There are many methods to get Aston Villa on facet along with your cash. Holding it easy and backing them to keep away from defeat at 5/4 with Sky Guess stands out as the key play however Villa to attain first at 15/8 and Villa to be successful at half-time at 4/1 are also price contemplating.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Aston Villa to win or draw (5/4 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea, New 12 months’s Day 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
The match costs look about proper to me with Chelsea prone to get the job carried out at odds-on with that further high quality within the ultimate third, particularly with Morgan Gibbs-White lacking for the hosts, however Forest might be digging in and creating issues for the Londoners at varied factors.
One space which will show fertile for them is set-pieces.
I believed Chelsea appeared shaky when defending their field beneath strain from corners and free-kicks towards Bournemouth, with the Cherries making a wholesome 0.29 price of anticipated targets by way of set-pieces with Lloyd Kelly and Dominic Solanke each lacking the goal from shut vary. Since Graham Potter took cost, Chelsea’s total defensive metrics from set-pieces are nosediving. They’ve shipped 33 photographs from such eventualities to an anticipated targets backdrop of three.18 – solely six groups have a worse output from the day Potter took over.
With that in thoughts, it is definitely price trying on the Forest centre-backs to threaten.
Since Joe Worrall and Willy Boly have been paired collectively 4 video games in the past, they’ve had eight photographs between them and that is not together with Boly’s disallowed objective towards Manchester United.
Worrall is 13/8 with Sky Guess and Boly is 2/1 to have not less than one shot within the participant photographs market. Each these costs look huge – and I will be backing the 4/5 on supply for both to have not less than one shot vs Chelsea as a part of my 3/1 New Year’s Day double.