Price controls have a long history. Experts weigh in on whether they are successful tools to fight high (or low) prices.
Last month, Vice President Kamala Harris announced that if elected in November she would approve “the first-ever federal ban on price gouging on food.”
The Democrat presidential nominee’s public policy measure builds on the current administration’s March announcement to form a joint Department of Justice and Federal Trade Commission “strike force” to target companies that engage in price-gouging practices.
“Consumers are feeling the cumulative effect of the high inflation we’ve experienced,” said the report’s lead author, Joseph Balagtas, a professor of agricultural economics at Purdue.
Will the vice president’s plans work? Reaction among market analysts, policy experts, and organizations to Harris’s idea has been mixed.
What Economists Are Saying
The chief debate is whether her anti-price-gouging proposal is another category of price controls—government minimum or maximum limits on prices for goods and services.
Business groups were quick to express their frustration with the proposal. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, America’s largest business organization, thinks whatever the policy is called will exacerbate price inflation.
Former Labor Secretary Robert Reich, who served under President Bill Clinton, however, says the vice president’s plan does not advocate price controls.
“Prices are already being controlled in America by big corporations that have gobbled up markets and don’t have to compete.”
Lindsay Owens, an economist at Groundwork Collaborative, stated that the government can intervene to combat what she says is “price gouging, price fixing, and just plain profiteering” in the food and grocery industry.
Some pundits also note that government control over prices is not a new thing, pointing out that some 40 states already have anti-price-gouging laws in place. They typically involve restricting price increases above a pre-determined threshold or banning what officials view as egregious price hikes.
The government, be it state attorneys general or local district attorneys, will take action if a company is found in violation of the law.
Joel Griffith, a research fellow at the Heritage Foundation, stated in a recent report that Harris’s idea “would more likely function as a price freeze or command pricing.”
Command pricing would involve the government determining the price to sell a good or a service. However, there are varying degrees of command pricing, such as mandating companies set prices at certain levels, ordering industries to produce more of something without sufficient demand, or setting quotas.
A price freeze would involve a temporary ban on price increases for a product, comparable to what former President Richard Nixon employed in the 1970s.
Griffith said current state laws that prohibit “dramatic price increases during emergencies” shouldn’t alleviate concerns about Harris’s proposal.
“Of course, even these state laws may result in the unintended consequence of shortages—but these temporary interventions in the market are rarely activated,” he said.
Vance Ginn, the chief economist at the Pelican Institute for Public Policy, recently told NTD News that the price gouging argument is a “political term, not an economic term.”
“What really comes in the marketplace is where consumers want to buy something at a certain price and producers want to provide it at a certain price,” Ginn said. “What we should be looking at is deregulation and finding ways to get the government out of the way instead of putting more government in place, like price controls, which haven’t worked throughout history.”
A common question is: Are corporations price gouging?
Supermarkets generally have extremely low profit margins in the 1 to 3 percent range. In the last quarter, Kroger and Albertsons, two of the largest U.S. grocery store chains, reported net profit margins of around 2 percent. By comparison, businesses like Apple and Nvidia report net profits of 25 percent and 55 percent, respectively.
Economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco say supposed corporate greed has not been to blame for price pressures.
A Brief History of Price Controls
Price controls have a long history, dating back 4,000 years to the ancient Babylonian legal text known as the Code of Hammurabi.
Many empires have tested these economic prescriptions, from Roman Emperor Diocletian to the Soviet-controlled economies in Eastern Europe.
The United States has been no exception.
Over the past century, the U.S. government has imposed broad price controls in various schemes targeting different goods and services.
In 1906, Congress passed the Hepburn Act, and President Theodore Roosevelt signed it. The act allowed the federal government to establish maximum freight rates for railroads.
Congress later passed the Lever Food Control Act of 1917, which became law in August of that year. The bill granted President Woodrow Wilson to regulate the price, transportation, production, and distribution of food and beverages, fuel, and feeds for the remainder of World War I.
President Franklin Delano Roosevelt (FDR) took a different approach to price controls, signing various pieces of price-fixing legislation before World War II that established price minimums. Some of these New Deal-era laws effectively prohibited companies, be it in agriculture or brand merchandise, from offering consumers discounts.
Conversely, by 1942, as the U.S. economy was grappling with a bout of inflation, Roosevelt dipped into an arsenal of government interventionist tools in the Emergency Price Control Act of 1942. The “Seven-Point Economic Stabilization Program” consisted of price controls, tax hikes, rationing, and less consumer credit.
The New Economic Policy, Nixon stated, was designed “to create a new prosperity without war.”
Nixon opposed price controls in the months before the announcement, calling these efforts “a scheme to socialize America.”
“They didn’t work even at the end of World War II. They will never work in peacetime.”
Nixon was also interested in Keynesian economic principles—government intervention in the economy through public policy pursuits aimed at achieving maximum employment and price stability—and was quoted by the American Broadcasting Company as saying he was “now a Keynesian in economics.”
“I knew I had opened myself to the charge that I had either betrayed my own principles or concealed my real intentions,” he wrote in his memoirs.
Several years later, President Jimmy Carter extended this anti-inflation initiative, which, according to various economic observers, was a continuation of his predecessors’ price and wage controls.
The difference? Voluntary compliance.
“Because this is not a mandatory control plan, I cannot stop an irresponsible corporation from raising its prices or a selfish group of employees from using its power to demand excessive wages,” Carter stated.
“But then if that happens, the government will respond, using the tools of government authority and public opinion.”
There has been debate as to whether the current administration has been experimenting with price controls relating to the prescription drug industry.
As part of the Inflation Reduction Act enacted 2022, the federal government imposes a 95 percent excise tax on drugmakers if they do not heed the federal government’s price demands.
The Economics of Price Controls
Over the past 40 years, presidents on both sides of the aisle have been apprehensive about employing this economic instrument to tackle high prices.
According to a chorus of economists—past and present—the reason might be simple: It is hard for the government to make this inflation-fighting—or, partially in FDR’s case, deflation-fighting—scheme work.
“Although economists accept that there are certain limited circumstances in which price controls can improve outcomes, economic theory and analysis of history show that broad price controls would be costly and of limited effectiveness.”
The late conservative economist Milton Friedman said “Price and wage controls are counterproductive for this purpose,” in his popular book, “Money Mischief.”
“Recently, as it has become clear that such controls are not a cure, they have been urged as a device for mitigating the side effects of a cure,” Friedman wrote.
While many economists have understood the necessity to impose temporary price controls in times of crises—natural disasters or war—the economic literature asserts that price controls distort market signals, causing supply disruptions, and misallocating investment.
“Anyone who studies the history of economics knows that price controls have never worked for more than a very short (days maybe a week or two) period,” Rod Skyles, author of the blog The Unconventional Economist, told The Epoch Times. “Price controls skew markets, create shortages, and always lead to a thriving black market.”
“Anytime government attempts to allocate goods or services over a wide range, it fails, and it fails spectacularly,” he said.
He used milk as an example of how price controls are not feasible in a market economy, saying that the government would need to impose price controls on not only the end product itself but all the inputs necessary to produce a carton of milk, be it labor or raw materials.
“The government is forced to go further and further, fixing step by step the prices of all consumers’ goods and of all factors of production,” Mises wrote.
Despite the plethora of unsuccessful results throughout history, many countries have continued to institute price controls, most recently Argentina (pre-President Javier Milei), Cuba, and Venezuela.
Skyles said the issue is that the government doesn’t have the same incentive as the private marketplace to make sound pricing decisions.
“Price controls don’t work because the government does not have the correct, up-to-date information to make such decisions, and there is no accountability when they are wrong,” he said.