Bitcoin is gearing up for a potential breakout into price discovery, with price action showing notable strength above key support levels. After an attempt to close above the all-time high of $112,000 on Friday fell short, bulls are now focused on securing a strong weekly close that could trigger a new leg higher. The market is watching closely, as the coming days may determine whether BTC is ready to break free from its current range and chart new highs.
On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds to the optimism. The Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric—which tracks the movement of long-dormant coins—shows that ancient coin activity is currently twice below its annual moving average. Historically, spikes in CDD often signal the beginning of distribution phases by long-term holders. The current subdued activity, however, suggests that seasoned investors remain confident, opting to hold rather than sell.
This low CDD activity, paired with steady price action and strong support at the $108K level, paints a constructive picture for Bitcoin. If bullish momentum continues, BTC could enter uncharted territory, reinforcing its position as the leading asset in the crypto market.
Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Remain Inactive
Bitcoin has remained in a tight consolidation phase below its $112,000 all-time high since late May, but momentum is building for a potential breakout. The leading cryptocurrency is up 10% since June 22 and continues to hold strong above key demand zones, particularly around the $108,000 level. This ongoing resilience has analysts closely watching for a decisive push above $112K, an event that could ignite a new wave of bullish price discovery.
While short-term direction remains uncertain, the long-term structure suggests continued strength. According to analysts, once BTC breaches the current resistance zone, it could move swiftly to new highs, fueled by strong investor confidence and supportive on-chain signals.
Top analyst Axel Adler shared an analysis of the Binary CDD indicator, which sheds light on the behavior of long-term holders. The CDD measures when older, previously dormant coins begin to move, often signaling distribution phases. Adler notes that ancient coin activity is now twice below its annual moving average, indicating that long-term holders are not selling into the recent strength.
Interestingly, the recent movement of coins linked to Roger Ver had little lasting impact on market dynamics, aside from temporary FOMO. In previous market cycles, spikes in CDD coincided with cycle tops, as seen near $70K and $100K. The absence of such a spike now suggests that the current rally remains structurally healthy and far from an overheated top.
As Bitcoin holds its ground and ancient coins remain inactive, the setup appears favorable for a breakout. If bulls can reclaim $112K with conviction, Bitcoin could enter price discovery, setting the tone for the broader crypto market in the weeks ahead.
BTC Price Holds Key Support As Bulls Defend Range Highs
Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight consolidation range, just below the $112K all-time high, with price action currently hovering around $108,245. As shown in the 12-hour chart, BTC has tested the $109,300 resistance level multiple times but has yet to break through it with conviction. Meanwhile, bulls are defending the $106,000–$106,500 area, which is reinforced by the 50 and 100-period SMAs, acting as dynamic support.
Volume remains relatively low compared to the May breakout, indicating a potential buildup before a major move. The current consolidation between $103,600 and $109,300 mirrors a classic high-timeframe range, with short-term liquidity traps forming both above and below. A confirmed breakout above $109,300 would likely open the door to price discovery, while a breakdown below $103,600 could trigger a retest of lower support levels.
The structure remains bullish as long as BTC holds above $106K and especially the $103.6K horizontal support zone. With multiple higher lows and bulls defending critical levels, the market appears to be coiling for a decisive move. Traders should watch for volume expansion and a clear break of resistance or support in the coming days to confirm the next trend direction.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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